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黄世煜:4.22黄金反弹不破82继续空,黄金分析

2019-04-22  

本文为【黄世煜:4.22黄金反弹不破82继续空,黄金分析】

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  消xiaoximianjiedu

  

  上shangzhou国际黄金jiagezikaiyu1291.04美meiyuanhouzhijiezoudi,周zhouxiadiechao17美meiyuan,最zuidichuji1271.26美meiyuan,创chuangxiaqunian12月yuediyilaidezuidizhoushoupanjia。受shouyadelikongyinsushang,数shujufangmianbaokuomeiguo3月yuefenlingshouezengfuchuangyinianbanyilaizuida,以yijidangzhouchuqingshiyejinrenshulianxuwuzhouxiajiang,并bingzaichuang49年nianbanyilaixindidengshujubiaoxianqiangshi,提tizhenliaomeiyuanxuqiu,加jiashang美股shidejixuzouqiang,令lingjinjiachixuchengya。最zuihou,恐konghuangzhishuVIX创chuangbannianxindi,全quanqiuzuidadehuangjinETF再zaichuangbannianyilaixindi,黄huangjindebixianmaixuxiajiang,不buguoyinyesushounanrijiaqixiushiertiqianzaizhousishoupandeshizixingxingtaiyousuozhidie,也yeyousuokanzhang

  

  今jinrizhouyi(4月yue22日ri)亚yashizaopan,黄huangjinyinzhoumokelunpo、法faguo、美meiguo、连liannanyadaoguodedengdiduogejiaotangfashengxijiyanzhong,影yingxiangrenshujiaoduo(具jutiqingkuangchakanxiangguanxinwen),导daozhidebixianqingxuyijijishushangdekanzhangshizixingergaokaigaozou,一yiduchuji1280美meiyuanguankou。观guandianshang,避bixianyinsudegaokaiyouqubieyuqianglishujujijiaxiyuqidengchanshengdegaokai,他tadeyingxiangyibannanyichixubingchanshengdequekoubuhuichixudaoxiazhouhuibu。加jiashangjinjiamuqiandedongnengrengshiquyuruoshi,现xianzaishihuangjinyinianzhongdejijiexingpiruanshiqi,这zheyipiruantaishikenenghuichixushuyue。未weilaijizhou,金jinjiakonghuanjiangjinyibuxiadieceshiguanjianxingdezhichengwei

  

  展zhanwangbenzhou;数shujushang,重zhongdianguanzhumeiguo3月yuefennaiyongpindingdanhemeiguoyijiduGDP数shuju。由youyushangzhousan(4月yue17)日ridebaogaoxianshimeiguo2月yuefenmaoyinichayiwaishouzhai,降jiangdiliaojinnianchujingjizengchangcongquniandisijidushuipingfanghuandekenengxing,预yujijingmaoyiduiGDP增zengchangdailaijijigongxian,从congerlikonghuangjin。另lingwaihuanyoumeiguoqiyecaibaogongbu,总zongdelaikan,目muqianshichangduibenzhoumeiguo经济数据yuqirengbijiaoleguan,有youwanggeimeiyuantigongjinyibushangzhangdongneng,并bingduijinjiaxingchengyazhi;所suoyiyouchaodiqingxudexuguanzhugaokaiquekoudehuibuzhouqiyijibenzhoudeshoupanqingkuang

  

  其qitafangmian;投touzizhehuanxuguanzhuzhongmei/贸maoyi/谈tanpan。对duibaokuohuangjinzaineideshichangeryan,最zuizhongdachengxieyihuopoliekenengshishichangdeyigezhongdazhuanzhedian。另lingyifangmian,目muqianshichangdefengxianpianhaoyekenengzhishizanshide,指zhimeiguojingjijinnianwanxieshihoushibifanghuan,这zhekenengsunjigushihemeiyuan,将jianghaojinjia。因yincidangqianshangyebunengpaichumeioumaoyi/冲chongtujiajudekeneng,如ruguoshuangfangzuizhongweinengdachengyizhikenenghuijiajushichangduiyuouzhoujingjifanghuandeyoulvqingxu,这zhekenenghuiduihuangjingouchengbufenzhicheng。不buguo,如ruguodangqianouzhoujingjishuai退tuidefengxianjinyibujiada,美meioumaoyijushi使shideouyuanchuxianhuiluo,因yiner使shidemeiyuanzouqiang,这zhekenenghuiduihuangjingouchengyali

  

  黄金行情zoushifenxi

  

  日ri线xianlaikan,震zhendangxiadie;MACD和heKDJ死sichayunxing,金jinjiashishou1280整zhengshuguankouzhongyaozhichenghou,初chubushishouMACD绿lvsedongnengzhujinyibukuoda,KDJ随suijizhibiaodafuzoudi,暗anshihuangjinmianlinjixuhuichexiadiedekongjian。金jinjiajiexialaichubuzhichengweiyu1270美meiyuanguankou,若ruoyouxiaodie穿chuangaishuiping,则zekenengjiasuxiadie。后houshipianxiangfenbieshitan50%回huichewei1253附fujinzhichenghe61.8%回huichewei1231附fujinzhicheng;12月yue26日rididian1264.22附fujinyecunzaiyixiezhicheng。上shangfangchubuzulizai5日rijun线xian1280附fujin,3月yue7日rididianhe4月yue4日rididianzuliduwuxianjiejinzhegeweizhi,该gaiweizhizulixiangduijiaoqiang,在zaishoufugaiweizhiqian,后houshipianxiangxiaxing。10日rijun线xianzulizai1289附fujin,若ruoyiwaishoufugaiweizhi,则zexiaoruoduan线xiankankongxinhao

  

  4小xiaoshilaikan,震zhendang,目muqianzhengshitutupofeibonaqi23.6%回huichewei1277水shuiping,进jinyibuzulijianxiajiangqushi线xian,接jiezhuoshifeibonaqi38.2%回huidiaowei1281,该gaishuipingtongshiyeshiri线xiansanjiaoxingxiaguizulisuozai。若ruojinjiazaiduxiaxing,支zhichengzaiqiandi1271附fujin。黄huangjinbiaoxianyijiupianxiangdimi,虽suiranpanzhongyouxiefandan,但danmingxianlidubuzu,因yincihoushiyeshijinyibuceshi1270支zhicheng,不buguo欧盘daowei1270附fujinhouyemeiyoujiasuxiaxing,反faneryouyixiefandandejixiang,现xianjieduanduanqijun线xianzurengshikongtoupailie,但danyouyixiefanghuanjixiang,MACD指zhibiaozouchujincha,短duanqikenengcunzaiyixiefandandexuqiu,综zonghelaikan,今jinricaozuosilushanggerenjianyiyifandangaokongweizhu,回huidiaozuoduoweifu;上shangfangduanqiguanzhu1282-1280一yi线xianzuli,下xiafangduanqiguanzhu1266-1268一yi线xianzhicheng

  

  黄huangjincaozuojianyi

  

  1、建jianyi:黄huangjinfandanzhi1280-1282一yi线xianzuokong,止zhisun4美meijin,目mubiaokan1272附fujin

  

  2、建jianyi:黄huangjinhuidiaozhi1268-1270一yi线xianduanduo,止zhisun4美meijin,目mubiaokan1274-1276附fujin

  

  原yuanyouxingqingzoushifenxi

  

  原yuanyoushangzhouxiaoshiziK线xianshouping,整zhengtikongjianbuda,围weiraogaoweilajuzhendang,最zuigao64.60 最zuidizezai63.0.空kongjianmeizouchulai,维weichizaiqujianneizuofanfudexiatanhuishengxushi,到daoliaozhouweihuanshifandanshouzailiaogaowei,本benzhoukaipanjiposhangzhougaodian,周zhou线xianzhenglihouyoujinyibushangxingqushi,贴tiezhuo5周zhoujun线xianzhendangshangyang。日rituhengxiangzhenglixushi,回huidiaokongjianxiao,以yishijianhuankongjiandeqiangshixiuzheng。由youyubenzhoukaipanzaigaowei,突tupociqiangaodiandejilvbianbijiaoda,突tupohouxuliangshangyang,操caozuoshangyituoshangzhoudidian63.0做zuolinjiedianshunshikanduo

  

  4小xiaoshishuangyangjiayindefandanshoufushidi,平pingtaigaodian64.1-64.20突tupohouciweijiuzhuanhuanchengpingtaizhicheng。今jinrikaipanshangpohoujizouchudayang线xiandechonggao。4小xiaoshiyoutupo6,5.90高gaodiandejixiang。小xiaoshitufanfuxiatanshouzhu270单danweijun线xianhuisheng。有youdianyoukonghoudezhenglixushipogao,本benzhoukaipanjiazaigaowei,具jubeichonggaopogaodeliangneng,今jinricaozuohuicaishunshiduokanxingao。综zonghelaikan,今jinricaozuosilushanggerenjianyiyihuidiaozuoduoweizhu,反fandangaokongweifu,上shangfangyaliduanqiguanzhu66.6-66.8一yi线xianzuli,下xiafangguanzhu65.0-65.2一yi线xianzhicheng

  

  原yuanyoucaozuojianyi

  

  1、上shangfangfandanzhi66.6-66.8一yi线xianzuokong,止zhisun0.4美meijin,目mubiaokan65.8-66.0一yi线xian

  

  2、下xiafanghuidiaozhi65.0-65.2一yi线xianzuoduo,止zhisun0.4美meijin,目mubiaokan66.0-66.2一yi线xian


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